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Al-Aqsa Storm: Difference between revisions
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'''Al-Aqsa Storm''' is an operation that has killed more than a thousand Israelis and injured nearly three thousand of them. The Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas), according to the statistics of Israeli sources, has also captured about 150 Israeli citizens and soldiers. However, one of the remarkable points of the Al-Aqsa storm operation is the widespread surprise of the Israeli regime in the middle of this operation. This is a big victory for the Palestinian Resistance Movement, especially considering the dominance and continuous aerial surveillance of the Gaza Strip by Israel's intelligence and espionage agencies, as well as the presence of this regime's spies in the mentioned region. | '''Al-Aqsa Storm''' is an operation that has killed more than a thousand Israelis and injured nearly three thousand of them. The Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement ([[Hamas]]), according to the statistics of Israeli sources, has also captured about 150 Israeli citizens and soldiers. However, one of the remarkable points of the Al-Aqsa storm operation is the widespread surprise of the Israeli regime in the middle of this operation. This is a big victory for the Palestinian Resistance Movement, especially considering the dominance and continuous aerial surveillance of the [[Gaza Strip]] by [[Israel]]'s intelligence and espionage agencies, as well as the presence of this regime's spies in the mentioned region. | ||
==Al-Aqsa Storm Operation== | ==Al-Aqsa Storm Operation== | ||
Palestine and especially Gaza City is going through sensitive days and nights. In these few days, the Zionists suffered blows that have no doubt never been seen in the history of the fake regime. Because Hamas, with a historic and unprecedented attack, caused the entire security equations of the Zionist regime and the regime leaders' understanding of the concept of "security", "control" and "deterrence" to be turned upside down. Now that the Zionists have touched the terror, death, war, and insecurity from the depths of their being, it is appropriate to ask them: Can you imagine you have imposed what is unbearable for you in 24 hours, on Palestinian people over a very long time? | [[Palestine]] and especially [[Gaza City]] is going through sensitive days and nights. In these few days, the Zionists suffered blows that have no doubt never been seen in the history of the fake regime. Because Hamas, with a historic and unprecedented attack, caused the entire security equations of the Zionist regime and the regime leaders' understanding of the concept of "security", "control" and "deterrence" to be turned upside down. Now that the Zionists have touched the terror, death, war, and insecurity from the depths of their being, it is appropriate to ask them: Can you imagine you have imposed what is unbearable for you in 24 hours, on Palestinian people over a very long time? | ||
In this article, we discuss how important the psychological and security aspects of the Al-Aqsa storm are, from the point of view of Israelis and their understanding of security and insecurity. | In this article, we discuss how important the psychological and security aspects of the Al-Aqsa storm are, from the point of view of Israelis and their understanding of security and insecurity. | ||
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==Irreparable Blow== | ==Irreparable Blow== | ||
On the 18th of Mehr, in response to the events of the 15th Mehr of occupied Palestine, the Leader of the Revolution of Iran said: "In this issue of the 15th Mehr, the usurper Zionist regime suffered an irreparable defeat, both militarily and in terms of information. Everyone mentioned the failure, my emphasis is on "irreparable". I say that this devastating earthquake has managed to destroy some of the main structures of this usurper regime's governance, and rebuilding those structures is not possible so easily. It is unlikely that the usurper Zionist regime will be able to restore those structures despite all the hype it is doing and all the support it receives from the Westerners in the world today. | On the 18th of Mehr, in response to the events of the 15th Mehr of occupied Palestine, [[Sayyid Ali Husayni Khamenei|the Leader of the Revolution of Iran]] said: "In this issue of the 15th Mehr, the usurper Zionist regime suffered an irreparable defeat, both militarily and in terms of information. Everyone mentioned the failure, my emphasis is on "irreparable". I say that this devastating earthquake has managed to destroy some of the main structures of this usurper regime's governance, and rebuilding those structures is not possible so easily. It is unlikely that the usurper Zionist regime will be able to restore those structures despite all the hype it is doing and all the support it receives from the Westerners in the world today. | ||
I would like to say that since Saturday, the 15th of Mehr, the Zionist regime is no longer the previous Zionist regime, and the blow it received cannot be compensated for so easily." Experience has shown that it is not easy to analyze the mental geometry of the leader of the revolution during events. An example is the 33-day war. He promised victory at a moment when Hezbollah's victory over the Zionist regime's war machine was unimaginable. A promise that even | I would like to say that since Saturday, the 15th of Mehr, the Zionist regime is no longer the previous Zionist regime, and the blow it received cannot be compensated for so easily." Experience has shown that it is not easy to analyze the mental geometry of the leader of the revolution during events. An example is the [[33-day war]]. He promised victory at a moment when [[Hezbollah]]'s victory over the Zionist regime's war machine was unimaginable. A promise that even General Soleimani, as the Iranian commander present in Hezbollah's battle with the Zionist army, could not imagine! | ||
==Psychological Security Shock== | ==Psychological Security Shock== | ||
One of the most important dimensions and aspects of the recent attack by Hamas on the Zionists is the provision of a new historical and psychological opportunity to understand the facts related to the lives of Palestinians. For several decades, the Zionist regime's army has brought great disasters on the Palestinian people which is now easier to be understood after the epochal operation of the Al-Aqsa storm. | One of the most important dimensions and aspects of the recent attack by Hamas on the Zionists is the provision of a new historical and psychological opportunity to understand the facts related to the lives of Palestinians. For several decades, the Zionist regime's army has brought great disasters on the Palestinian people which is now easier to be understood after the epochal operation of the Al-Aqsa storm. | ||
The Palestinians have not tortured the Zionists and have not closed the gate of food and goods to them. They have only fought in a war that has been completely unequal in terms of financial and military facilities, and the main weapons of the fighters in this epochal battle have been will and faith. But Israel has used all kinds of tools and crimes not only against the armed fighters, but also against the Palestinian people, and has managed a war in which there are no moral and human limits. However, the Zionists themselves not only did not understand this difficult situation of the Palestinian people; but also they occupied their lands with ease and continued to build houses on other people's land. Palestinians, for several decades, have faced displacement, poverty, embargo, hunger, oppression, violence, murder and torture. But the Zionists have accumulated wealth and have always supported the crimes of the army and Mossad. But now the situation is not the same as the past for the Zionists. | The Palestinians have not tortured the Zionists and have not closed the gate of food and goods to them. They have only fought in a war that has been completely unequal in terms of financial and military facilities, and the main weapons of the fighters in this epochal battle have been will and faith. But Israel has used all kinds of tools and crimes not only against the armed fighters, but also against the Palestinian people, and has managed a war in which there are no moral and human limits. However, the Zionists themselves not only did not understand this difficult situation of the Palestinian people; but also they occupied their lands with ease and continued to build houses on other people's land. Palestinians, for several decades, have faced displacement, poverty, embargo, hunger, oppression, violence, murder and torture. But the Zionists have accumulated wealth and have always supported the crimes of the army and [[Mossad]]. But now the situation is not the same as the past for the Zionists. | ||
Now the Zionists can also understand what the attack means and what a great tragedy it is to lose family members. Now they also can understand how much hardships and suffering are faced by defenseless people under difficult conditions. This is what psychologists refer to as identification. It means that there is an opportunity and possibility for us to be in a difficult situation and from the depths of our soul and understanding, reach a new evaluation of the situation of those who have already gone through the same event. For example, someone who sends help to an earthquake victim from hundreds of kilometers away may understand the dire situation of the earthquake victim, but he is sitting in a strong house with a roof over his head. He has not faced hunger, cold, heat and uncertainty. But when he suffers from an earthquake, he will understand what a difficult situation his fellow man has gone through in the past. | Now the Zionists can also understand what the attack means and what a great tragedy it is to lose family members. Now they also can understand how much hardships and suffering are faced by defenseless people under difficult conditions. This is what psychologists refer to as identification. It means that there is an opportunity and possibility for us to be in a difficult situation and from the depths of our soul and understanding, reach a new evaluation of the situation of those who have already gone through the same event. For example, someone who sends help to an earthquake victim from hundreds of kilometers away may understand the dire situation of the earthquake victim, but he is sitting in a strong house with a roof over his head. He has not faced hunger, cold, heat and uncertainty. But when he suffers from an earthquake, he will understand what a difficult situation his fellow man has gone through in the past. | ||
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===Information limitations=== | ===Information limitations=== | ||
The attack by Hamas is not the first one that a government disastrously fails to predict and identify. Japan launched a deadly surprise attack on Pearl Harbor in 1941. It destroyed the Pacific Fleet, and subsequently, Franklin Roosevelt declared war, which eventually led to the creation of the Central Intelligence Agency. Also, the CIA and other US intelligence agencies missed 23 opportunities to disrupt the 9/11 al-Qaeda attack that killed nearly 3,000 people. Israel itself was caught off guard almost 50 years ago, when Egyptian and Syrian forces attacked it during the Jewish holiday, igniting the Yom Kippur War. | The attack by Hamas is not the first one that a government disastrously fails to predict and identify. [[Japan]] launched a deadly surprise attack on Pearl Harbor in 1941. It destroyed the Pacific Fleet, and subsequently, Franklin Roosevelt declared war, which eventually led to the creation of the Central Intelligence Agency. Also, the CIA and other US intelligence agencies missed 23 opportunities to disrupt the 9/11 [[Al-Qaeda|al-Qaeda]] attack that killed nearly 3,000 people. Israel itself was caught off guard almost 50 years ago, when Egyptian and Syrian forces attacked it during the Jewish holiday, igniting the Yom Kippur War. | ||
Of course, it's possible that Hamas was more lucky than skilled and did nothing significant to hide its intentions or capabilities. For example, research into 9/11 showed that al-Qaeda terrorists did not need fictitious counterintelligence schemes or even fake names to succeed. They just needed the CIA and the FBI to do business as usual. As the Cold War ended and the terrorist threat increased in the 1990s, intelligence agencies failed to adapt their structure, motivations, and culture to identify and defeat a new enemy. As a result, the CIA and FBI missed nearly two dozen opportunities to infiltrate and possibly stop 9/11. One of the main reasons for the failure was that before 9/11, there was no formal training, clear process, or priority for warning other intelligence agencies about dangerous terrorists who might travel to the United States. | Of course, it's possible that Hamas was more lucky than skilled and did nothing significant to hide its intentions or capabilities. For example, research into 9/11 showed that al-Qaeda terrorists did not need fictitious counterintelligence schemes or even fake names to succeed. They just needed the CIA and the FBI to do business as usual. As the Cold War ended and the terrorist threat increased in the 1990s, intelligence agencies failed to adapt their structure, motivations, and culture to identify and defeat a new enemy. As a result, the CIA and FBI missed nearly two dozen opportunities to infiltrate and possibly stop 9/11. One of the main reasons for the failure was that before 9/11, there was no formal training, clear process, or priority for warning other intelligence agencies about dangerous terrorists who might travel to the [[United States]]. | ||
Currently, most analysts don't know exactly why the Israelis failed to detect the attack of Hamas, and it could take months for the Israelis to answer that question. Historically, Israel has been perhaps one of the best actors in the world at infiltrating its adversary organizations, which are admittedly difficult to penetrate. Israel has designed a defense plan that relies on intercepting missile attacks, border crossings, and early warning. But this defensive plan can do some of the work. Another key part is understanding the enemy's way of thinking and acting, and perhaps that's where the Israelis suffer a more significant weakness. | Currently, most analysts don't know exactly why the Israelis failed to detect the attack of Hamas, and it could take months for the Israelis to answer that question. Historically, Israel has been perhaps one of the best actors in the world at infiltrating its adversary organizations, which are admittedly difficult to penetrate. Israel has designed a defense plan that relies on intercepting missile attacks, border crossings, and early warning. But this defensive plan can do some of the work. Another key part is understanding the enemy's way of thinking and acting, and perhaps that's where the Israelis suffer a more significant weakness. | ||
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====Herzliya Reichsmann University Conference==== | ====Herzliya Reichsmann University Conference==== | ||
On the 20th of Shahrivar, at the conference of Herzliya Reichman University, "David Barnia", the head of the Zionist intelligence agency (Mossad), seriously threatened Iran and said that it was time for Iran to pay differently. What Barnia meant by this ransom was the operation in Iran to assassinate senior officials; Operation in the heart of Tehran! Zion's eyes were staring at Tehran. Unaware of the fact that the resistance forces encircled Gaza, under the eyes of the three intelligence agencies of the Zionist regime (Aman, Shabak, and Mossad), were planning a major earthquake in the 75-year-old history of the Zionist occupation. | On the 20th of Shahrivar, at the conference of Herzliya Reichman University, "David Barnia", the head of the Zionist intelligence agency (Mossad), seriously threatened Iran and said that it was time for [[Iran]] to pay differently. What Barnia meant by this ransom was the operation in Iran to assassinate senior officials; Operation in the heart of Tehran! Zion's eyes were staring at [[Tehran]]. Unaware of the fact that the resistance forces encircled Gaza, under the eyes of the three intelligence agencies of the Zionist regime (Aman, Shabak, and Mossad), were planning a major earthquake in the 75-year-old history of the Zionist occupation. | ||
==A Message to the World== | ==A Message to the World== | ||
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==Ismail Haniyeh, the head of Hamas's political office== | ==Ismail Haniyeh, the head of Hamas's political office== | ||
The Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement made history with the Al-Aqsa storm operation, and this operation will be the beginning of the fall of usurpers from our land. Haniyeh further said: The usurping Zionists have resorted to killing the oppressed and innocent people of Palestine to compensate for the defeat and disgrace they have faced through the | The Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement made history with the Al-Aqsa storm operation, and this operation will be the beginning of the fall of usurpers from our land. [[Ismail Haniyeh|Haniyeh]] further said: The usurping Zionists have resorted to killing the oppressed and innocent people of Palestine to compensate for the defeat and disgrace they have faced through the [[Izz al-Din al-Qassam]] battalions. Ismail Haniyeh said: "The cowardly army of the Zionist regime does not have the strength to compete with our brave and courageous soldiers, that's why they start killing." He added: With the comprehensive support of America and the West, despite the actions of the despotic enemy, we will resume the strategy of independence and return. The people of Gaza are deeply attached to their land and will not leave Gaza. It should be noted that Israel has demanded the withdrawal of more than one million Palestinians from northern Gaza. | ||
==Rashid al-Ghannooshi== | ==Rashid al-Ghannooshi== | ||
Rashid al-Ghannoushi, the former speaker of the Tunisian House of Representatives and head of the Tunisian Ennahda movement, wrote in a letter from prison that was posted by his daughter Samia al-Ghannoushi on X account: "The Al-Aqsa storm operation, which was launched by the Palestinian resistance on October 7, is the gift of the people of Gaza to the Islamic Ummah.". In the second message from the prison, he added: "This prison is the power of renewal, motivation, mobilization, awakening, and the motto of the nation's heroism." The Al-Aqsa storm represents the renewal of civilization and the revival of the Islamic nation. In his message, Al-Ghannooshi said: Palestine, along with Al-Aqsa Mosque, is the central issue of the Ummah, and Al-Aqsa Mosque is the center of Islamic sovereignty and the pride of the Ummah. Al-Aqsa Mosque is the beating heart of the Islamic world, and the presence of any disturbing creature in the heart of the Islamic world is a warning of great danger, and this requires the mobilization of the nation to deal with this existential threat. By stating that the freedom of Palestine is not a burden on the shoulders of the Islamic world, but rather a lever for the unity of the Muslim Ummah, and this is more than a burden on him, Al-Ghannooshi tells his career: the issue of the freedom of Palestine must remain at the center of the movements of the Islamic world. He continued: Palestine is a verse of the book and a chapter of the Quran, whoever carries it, carries the book, and whoever leaves it, has left the book. Al-Ghannoushi called the Al-Aqsa storm operation a blessing and said: "Today, the Al-Aqsa storm is the gift of the people of Gaza to the Islamic Ummah, and it is a rejuvenating, motivating, and awakening power." The goal of the liberation of Palestine elevates the youth and politicizes them, and draws the new generation from small concerns to the big issues of the Islamic nation and humanity. Al-Ghannooshi likened the process of the "Al-Aqsa Flood" to "Noah's Flood" which will flood the whole world and rebuild it again so that the world of humanity can prosper and be saved from everything rotten. At the end of his message, Al-Ghannooshi said: This renewal of Islam is the renewal of humanity and the promise of a new world: a world of freedom, justice, brotherhood, and equality. It should be noted that Al-Ghannoushi has been in prison since his arrest on April 17 last year by the security forces after a raid on his home until the court ordered his imprisonment for provocative comments against the security of Tunisia. | Rashid al-Ghannoushi, the former speaker of the Tunisian House of Representatives and head of the Tunisian Ennahda movement, wrote in a letter from prison that was posted by his daughter Samia al-Ghannoushi on X account: "The Al-Aqsa storm operation, which was launched by the Palestinian resistance on October 7, is the gift of the people of Gaza to the Islamic Ummah.". In the second message from the prison, he added: "This prison is the power of renewal, motivation, mobilization, awakening, and the motto of the nation's heroism." The Al-Aqsa storm represents the renewal of civilization and the revival of the Islamic nation. In his message, Al-Ghannooshi said: Palestine, along with Al-Aqsa Mosque, is the central issue of the Ummah, and Al-Aqsa Mosque is the center of Islamic sovereignty and the pride of the [[Ummah]]. Al-Aqsa Mosque is the beating heart of the Islamic world, and the presence of any disturbing creature in the heart of the Islamic world is a warning of great danger, and this requires the mobilization of the nation to deal with this existential threat. By stating that the freedom of Palestine is not a burden on the shoulders of the Islamic world, but rather a lever for the unity of the Muslim Ummah, and this is more than a burden on him, Al-Ghannooshi tells his career: the issue of the freedom of Palestine must remain at the center of the movements of the Islamic world. He continued: Palestine is a verse of the book and a chapter of the Quran, whoever carries it, carries the book, and whoever leaves it, has left the book. Al-Ghannoushi called the Al-Aqsa storm operation a blessing and said: "Today, the Al-Aqsa storm is the gift of the people of Gaza to the Islamic Ummah, and it is a rejuvenating, motivating, and awakening power." The goal of the liberation of Palestine elevates the youth and politicizes them, and draws the new generation from small concerns to the big issues of the Islamic nation and humanity. Al-Ghannooshi likened the process of the "Al-Aqsa Flood" to "Noah's Flood" which will flood the whole world and rebuild it again so that the world of humanity can prosper and be saved from everything rotten. At the end of his message, Al-Ghannooshi said: This renewal of Islam is the renewal of humanity and the promise of a new world: a world of freedom, justice, brotherhood, and equality. It should be noted that Al-Ghannoushi has been in prison since his arrest on April 17 last year by the security forces after a raid on his home until the court ordered his imprisonment for provocative comments against the security of Tunisia. | ||
==The Consequences of the Al-Aqsa Storm on Israel== | ==The Consequences of the Al-Aqsa Storm on Israel== | ||
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So far, many analyses have been done and written about the military and political aspects of this operation, but not much attention has been paid to its economic aspects. However, this operation is ongoing and we have to wait for the behavior of the parties to the war and other countries. But we can make this claim with a very high probability that regardless of whether the winner of the war is Israel or Hamas, this war has a main loser, which is Israel's economy. The reasons for this loss are summarized in several factors that will be mentioned below. | So far, many analyses have been done and written about the military and political aspects of this operation, but not much attention has been paid to its economic aspects. However, this operation is ongoing and we have to wait for the behavior of the parties to the war and other countries. But we can make this claim with a very high probability that regardless of whether the winner of the war is Israel or Hamas, this war has a main loser, which is Israel's economy. The reasons for this loss are summarized in several factors that will be mentioned below. | ||
* The first and most important feature of Al-Aqsa Storm is questioning the | * The first and most important feature of Al-Aqsa Storm is questioning the [[Abraham Accords]] and more importantly Arab-Med Corridor. Arab-Med Corridor aimed at the interconnected development of the Emirates, [[Oman]], [[Bahrain]], [[Saudi Arabia]], [[Jordan]], and Israel. It could bring a new geo-economic order to China and the North-South Corridor. What made the Arab-Med Corridor more important than the Abraham Accords was that Israel could be completely integrated and stabilized in the regional order through this corridor. The connection of this corridor to the Neom region of Saudi Arabia and its proximity to the Straits of Tiran would give Israel access to the [[Persian Gulf]] and geopolitical superiority over Palestine. In addition, this issue, while weakening the geo-economics of Iran, [[Egypt]], [[Russia]], and [[China]], automatically could push the Palestinian issue to the sidelines. Regarding this analysis, perhaps the speculations about the Kremlin's assistance to Hamas can be understandable. Therefore, the most important impact of the Al-Aqsa Storm was questioning the geo-economic order which resulted in the inevitable acceptance of Israel. The relationship between Al-Aqsa Storm and the Arab-Med Corridor is like the relationship between the 33-Day War and the new Middle East plan. | ||
* The three fundamental features of Israel's economy since the mid-1990s are based on the knowledge-based sector, accounting for more than 50% of service exports and 35% of government tax collection. The export of goods and services in 2022 was about 166 billion dollars. This characteristic of Israel's economy makes it a part of the Arab-Med Corridor, which became the most common excuse for cooperation and normalization of relations between the countries of the region and Israel. Despite this, Al-Aqsa Storm will act as a very strong catalyst for capital and human capital flight from Israel, which was started earlier with the reforms of the judicial system. Before this operation, investments especially foreign investments have decreased by 90% and 68% of knowledge-based companies have intended to leave occupied Palestine or withdraw their funds. At least 80% of these countries have been registered abroad since the beginning of 2022. So, just like the weakness of human resources against the Al-Aqsa storm, the migration of specialized forces will be a fundamental threat to Israel's economy. | * The three fundamental features of Israel's economy since the mid-1990s are based on the knowledge-based sector, accounting for more than 50% of service exports and 35% of government tax collection. The export of goods and services in 2022 was about 166 billion dollars. This characteristic of Israel's economy makes it a part of the Arab-Med Corridor, which became the most common excuse for cooperation and normalization of relations between the countries of the region and Israel. Despite this, Al-Aqsa Storm will act as a very strong catalyst for capital and human capital flight from Israel, which was started earlier with the reforms of the judicial system. Before this operation, investments especially foreign investments have decreased by 90% and 68% of knowledge-based companies have intended to leave occupied Palestine or withdraw their funds. At least 80% of these countries have been registered abroad since the beginning of 2022. So, just like the weakness of human resources against the Al-Aqsa storm, the migration of specialized forces will be a fundamental threat to Israel's economy. | ||
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===Human Security=== | ===Human Security=== | ||
The spokesman of the Israeli army said during a press conference on the morning of Tuesday, October 17: "Currently, about half a million Israelis are displaced inside the country." According to the report of "Russia | The spokesman of the Israeli army said during a press conference on the morning of Tuesday, October 17: "Currently, about half a million Israelis are displaced inside the country." According to the report of "Russia Alyoum" news channel, he noted that all residential complexes located around the Gaza Strip have been evacuated and more than 20 neighborhoods in the north of occupied Palestine are now empty. | ||
== Sources == | == Sources == | ||